Memories of the Future

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Wednesday, June 28, 2006

Oh I almost forgot, I have been reading through the new surgen general's report on second hand smoke and the problems it causes or more correctly stated is very loosly associated with.

From the news article I read, which lead me to the report, I expected more concrete numbers. In almost all cases I have seen so far the numbers are as follows.
Rate of cancer/sids/ect w.o second hand smoke 1.0
rate of cancer/sids/ect with second hand smoke ~1.5

so what does this really mean? You are 50% more likely to get (insert bad thing) if you are exposed to second hand smoke. Although this may seem like a shocking number to some of you, in the world of science, this is what you call a very loose association. Less that a 100% increase is really meaningless, especially with the amount of error in these reports.

Lets take a look at a few numbers for lung cancer, which seems to be to possibly be the most easily linked as you are breathing in the smoke and thats where it goes.
In canada
years living with a smoker Risk
none 1.0
1.36 0.83
37-77 1.54

In europe
intensity of second hand smok Risk
none 1.0
medium 0.87
high 3.24

So from these studies it appears that living with a medium smoker for up to 36 years actually helps prevent lung cancer.

In the US
Men Risk
SHS by spouse 1.96
SHS at work 1.89

Women
SHS by spouse 1.05
SHS at work 1.57

So apparently men have about the same suceptability to second hand smoke wether at home or at work, while women on the other hand are much more suceptable to second hand smoke at work than at home.

Really these numbers are all BS and don't show any signifigant trends. Of cource that dosen't stop the papers from reporting on how horrible it is for you, which will lead to more bans in resturants and othe public places.

Idiots all of them!

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